The above chart shows what the Dow Industrials have done since hitting the 9525.32 level. Yesterday, the Dow attempted to go above the 9525.32 level and didn't succeed...so far. I don't think many traders or investors are intentionally targeting this level. However, it appears as though there is a battle for control of this price level on the index. What are the implications of this "battle line?" My guess is that we'll see this level revisited after falling to a extreme (albeit temporary) low or high in the market. At which point the index would wander around this level for what would seem like a long period of time (3 weeks to 4 months.)
Note:
On the right hand column please take a look at the Dow Yield Watch indicator. This indicator follows the current yield of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and places it in the context of the historical yields of the index. Traditionally, whenever the Dow had a yield of 6% the index would start a new bull market towards a yield of 3%. Likewise, when yielding 3% the Dow would embark on a new bear market towards a yield of 6%.
At the current yield of 3.50%, the Dow is slightly overvalued and, if continuing on its trend, is headed to the undervalued level of 6%. To put this concept into perspective, if the Dow were yielding 4% then the index would be at the 8,107.75 level. Touc.
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